0730MDT – wake; blog; pack
0845 – breakfast: scrambled eggs to-order
1000 – Depart Stratton, CO. I’ve missed the briefing (or vice versa). We are heading to the TX/NM border area,
where we expect to encounter a wind/hail event. Gustnadoes or a brief spin-up tornado are possible.
After the rain-wrapped tornado(es) near Denver, we are still a little vortex-hungry.
1132MDT – MD655 issued: NE/E NM, severe hail/wind event, evolving to MCS (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0655.html)
1206 – Arrive at Lamar, CO; we grad a quick Burger King lunch. I actually am one of the first to the counter, so I get to sit and eat for a change. I grab a large cup of ice with a bit of water added. I’ll use this to re-stock my Monster beverage canteen as we go. This canteen is still going strong after 3 days, unlike its predecessors that were dented and crushed by the change in atmospheric pressure as we descended from the mountains.
1207MDT – MD656 issued for SE WY, NE/central CO: wind/hail threat (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0656.html)
1348MDT – Pass through Campo, CO (“You’re welcome, Eric!”)
____ – MD658 issued for TX panhandle and western OK: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0658.html
____ – MD663 issued: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0663.html
1356MDT/1456CDT – enter OK, Central time
____ – We cross into Texas (our 8th state of the trip) from the north, bypassing New Mexico for the moment. [We never get there, actually.]
1556CDT – Conlen, TX (home of “Tall Tex” statue; http://www.agilitynut.com/11/4/conlen4.jpg , http://www.roadsideamerica.com/story/11608)
____ – We take a backroads (FM (farm) roads), some paved, some gravel, some plain dirt. Yee-haw!
____ – We spot dusty storm outflow in the distance, We are entering the storm boundary, where we have some chance
to see brief gustnadoes or tornadoes. We blast south a ways.
____ – We flee the blowing dust, moving east then south for a better view.
____ – Bill sees a suspicious cloud on our 9-o’clock, so he stops us for a look. Possible weak tornado is pulling
dirt up from the ground. We spot a funnel above, but the dust makes photography difficult. Tough to focus
me and my camera as I chew on the dust that these Texas winds are forcing into my teeth.
____ – As we retreat, the roads are almost totally obscured. Our drivers do an excellent job keeping from from
driving into a field (or each other). Visibility is only a couple hundred feet, as best.
____ – We give up on the storms, as they are just blowing dust around and the prospects of a tornado are gone now.
We head for Shamrock, TX, where Bill has booked our rooms for the night.
____ – Arrive at Shamrock; we check into our rooms; 15 minutes later, we do a convenience store run a few blocks away. The C-store at US-83 and I-40 (the replacement for he epic US-66) has TONS of great souvenirs; Marina and Owen complete their refrigerator magnet collection of the 8 states we’ve visited: Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, Wyoming, South Dakota, Colorado, and Texas (in order). We return to the motel for an impromptu party to celebrate our journey, recollect stories, and appreciate one another’s company one last evening.
0020 – Lights out!
[MORE INFO, DISORGANIZED, BELOW]
May 22, 2014 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu May 22 16:12:40 UTC 2014 (Print Version | | )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical
Tornado
Wind
Hail
Population
Cities/Towns
CWAs
Interstates Counties
ARTCC FEMA Regions
Categorical Day1 1630Z Outlook
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
SLIGHT 259,763 43,926,981 New York, NY…Philadelphia, PA…Denver, CO…Baltimore, MD…Nashville, TN…
Forecast Discussion
SPC AC 221609
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2014
VALID 221630Z – 231200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NY SOUTHWARD INTO VA…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TN
VALLEY…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF WY/CO
SOUTHWARD INTO EASTERN NM/WEST TX…
…SUMMARY…
AREAS FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WESTWARD TO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL EXPERIENCE NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL TODAY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC.
STORMS WILL ERUPT ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS FROM
SOUTHEAST WYOMING TO COLORADO…AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS AND HAIL.
…NY TO VA…
CYCLONIC NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND NORTHEAST STATES TODAY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS
RELATIVELY STRONG HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON FROM EASTERN NY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THIS
CORRIDOR IS EXPECTED TO SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL PROMOTE A FEW STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. REFER TO MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
653 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
…TN VALLEY…
FULL SUNSHINE IS OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF KY/TN TODAY…WHERE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2500
J/KG. WHILE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IS EXPECTED…WEAK FORCING AND SUBTLE UPPER RIDGING SUGGEST THAT
COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED. THOSE STORMS THAT FORM WILL POSE A RISK
OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HAVE BACKED OFF ON HIGHER
PROBABILITIES OVER THIS AREA DUE TO CONCERNS REGARDING COVERAGE.
…WY/CO…
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY AGAIN TODAY ALONG
THE FRONT RANGE OF SOUTHEAST WY INTO CO. THE DCVZ WILL BE ACTIVE
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON…FOCUSING A RISK OF SUPERCELL STORMS NEAR THE
DENVER AREA. STORM-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST
CO MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD TODAY…POSING A RISK OF LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL.
…ERN NM/WEST TX…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ONCE AGAIN ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE OVER EASTERN NM AND WEST TX. MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A RISK.
..HART/SMITH.. 05/22/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1654Z (10:54AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
Satellite image(s) [ABQ, vis]
generated from http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/ at Thu, 22 May 2014 16:58:54 GMT
NEXRAD radar image(s) [KPUX BREF1]
generated from http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/ at Thu, 22 May 2014 17:00:12 GMT
Click image below for corresponding velocity image
If the image below is out of date try the latest image from the National Weather Service instead.
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